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Messages - Coop

Pages: 1 2 [3] 4 5 ... 9
101
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Re: Beijing Post-it Block
« on: April 05, 2021, 12:37:33 PM »
I'll pay the listed price for CF Willey.

102
Completed Trades / El Paso / Black Forest.
« on: March 25, 2021, 01:54:02 PM »
Black Forest sends $25 million to El Paso.

El Paso sends Black Forest all of its picks in Rounds 1-5 of the next rookie draft.

103
Completed Trades / Re: Black Forest - Beijing
« on: March 25, 2021, 12:06:22 PM »
Confirmed. 

104
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Re: Beijing Post-it Block
« on: March 24, 2021, 09:03:20 PM »
Black Forest will pay the requested amounts for Potter and Eriksen.

105
Completed Trades / Phoenix / Black Forest trade.
« on: March 23, 2021, 01:56:22 PM »
Black Forest sends CF Daniel Hassell (Class A) and $7 million to Phoenix.

Phoenix sends LF Elton Goulder and its second-round pick in the next rookie draft to Black Forest.

106
General WBA Discussion / Re: Black Forest Baseball Hall of Fame.
« on: March 16, 2021, 08:08:22 AM »
The November 2129 honoree is

JIM ALEXANDER

He came to the Black Forest in a March 2108 trade, when he was a minor-league prospect.  Alexander soon established himself as a big-league star; he went on to an 11-year major-league career.  Six of those 11 years were spent with the Foxes.  He was the starting centerfielder on the 2112 WBA championship team.  Alexander posted a lifetime BA of .308 and an OBP of .389.  While he wasn’t a power hitter, he managed to hit 76 homers in his career, with a high of 19 homers in 2110.  He hit over .300 every season from 2110 to 2115, and he was a patient hitter who drew as many as 92 walks in a season.  Alexander won one Silver Slugger award and was named the Championship Series MVP in 2113.  As for defense, he won three Gold Gloves in center field.  He was a valuable player both offensively and defensively.  He wore jersey number 26.

107
First one to post it can have these guys.

SP Allan Bourke.  Age 24.  3.0-star potential.  2nd round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_646.html

RF Rodrigo Valadez.  Age 21.  3.0-star potential.  2nd round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_4839.html

C Chang-ho Kim.  Age 30.  Current rating 3.0 stars, Contact 6, Eye 6, Avoid Ks 7,  Defense 6.  3rd round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6280.html

SP Eligius Kramer.  Age 25.  4th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6984.html

SP Gu Chang.  Age 30.  5th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6472.html

RP Kudrat Chishti.  Age 31.  5th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_555.html

RP Hong-bo Chin.  Age 34.  Movement 8, Control 8, 1.64 ERA in AAA this year.  5th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_1063.html

SP Goncalo Bertrand, age 26.  4th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_3930.html

CF Dale Agar.  Age 29.  5th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_5996.html

3B Renault Lambertini.  Age 29.  5th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6829.html

SS Dominic Ratcliffe.  Age 27.  5th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6620.html

SP Jean  L'Homme.  Age 26.  4th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_3822.html

1B August Pfeiffer.  Age 27.  5th round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6383.html

108
Completed Trades / Re: Sao Paulo / Black Forest.
« on: March 13, 2021, 07:36:11 AM »
Ignore this ... I see that Casey posted the same trade late last night, while I was snoozing.  I confirmed the trade under his post.

109
Completed Trades / Re: São Paulo / Black Forest Trade
« on: March 13, 2021, 07:31:37 AM »
Confirmed.

110
Completed Trades / Sao Paulo / Black Forest.
« on: March 13, 2021, 07:30:00 AM »
Black Forest sends $10 million to Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo sends minor-league pitcher A. Badaloni to Black Forest.

111
Completed Trades / Sao Paulo / Black Forest trade.
« on: February 26, 2021, 03:17:00 PM »
Black Forest sends $10 million to Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo sends pitcher A. Badaloni, currently in Class A, to Black Forest.

Note that this trade is not official until Sao Paulo confirms.  I haven't been able to get hold of Casey for the past couple of days to get his confirmation, but our discussion from earlier in the week indicated that he was willing to sell Badaloni for $10m.  Now it's deadline day and I'm not going to be available for a bit, so I figured I'd better post the deal because I might not get another chance before it's too late.


112
Completed Trades / Oslo / Black Forest trade.
« on: February 22, 2021, 11:25:42 AM »
Black Forest sends the following to Oslo:
1B Manuel Coronado
RP Alberto Mora
RP Juan Moreno
SS Abid Shirani
$5.8 million to cover the salaries of the above through the remainder of this season.

Oslo sends the following to Black Forest:
First-round pick in the upcoming rookie draft
Third-round pick in the upcoming rookie draft

Note to Huck:  I'm going to do an export in which I temporarily move all of these guys down to AAA so that I can fill their roster spots at the big-league level.

113
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Black Forest trade block.
« on: February 17, 2021, 01:36:36 PM »
2B Carlino Mazzolani, age 27.  Current rating 3.0 stars.  Contact 8, Gap 8, Avoid Ks 10, Defense 6, Speed 9.  Currently making the league minimum, $200,000.  Excellent young second baseman in his prime, capable of hitting .300+, also fast and a decent glove man.  Basically he does everything except hit home runs, and he's playing for the lowest possible salary.  Will trade Mazzo and throw in $5 million for a first-round pick.  Link:
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6254.html

1B Manuel Coronado, age 33.  Current rating 4.0 stars.  Crushes righthanded pitchers:  8 Contact, 9 Power.  Currently making big bucks but no problem, I'll trade Coronado AND I'll pay his remaining salary AND I'll throw in $5 million more, all that for a first-round pick.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_4773.html

RF Owen Thrippleton, age 24 (currently in AAA).  Projected rating 4.0 stars.  Not a good fielder but can really hit.  Power rating of 9.  Hasn't been to the majors yet so none of his service time has been used up.  Will be playing for the league minimum for years.  Will consider trading him and some money (to be negotiated) for a first-round pick.  Link:
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6859.html

C Jose Martinez, age 29 (currently in AAA).  Current rating 2.5 stars.  Not a great hitter but not an automatic out, and he has a Catcher Ability rating of 10, which can be a huge help to a pitching staff.  Available for a third-round pick.  Link:
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_5966.html


114
Player Change Requests / Re: Black Forest player name changes.
« on: January 31, 2021, 08:36:44 AM »
No name changes this year, but I'd like to change the nicknames of several guys.

SP Hi-yuan Mao - change nickname from Sparky to Chairman.
SP Odell Pittakis - change nickname from Trixie (wtf?) to Zeus.
CF Vicente Moya - change nickname from Catfish to Salsita.

Thanks!


115
WBA Times / You can never have too much pitching.
« on: January 30, 2021, 11:59:53 AM »
It's one of the old sayings of baseball ... you can never have too much pitching.  So as part of my rebuild I've been hauling in young pitchers by the busload.  In my farm system there are now 13 starting pitchers under the age of 25 who have projected grades of 3.0 stars or better.  The list:

Rodney Litchfield, age 24. 3.0 stars.
Eligius Kramer, age 24, 3.0 stars.
Allan Bourke, age 23, 3.0 stars.
Madidu Olamina, age 23, 3.0 stars.
Luo-shan Wu, age 22, 4.0 stars.
Tom Pierce, age 22, 3.0 stars.
Manny Sierra, age 22, 3.0 stars.
Khai Jiang, age 22, 3.0 stars.
Odell Pittakis, age 22, 3.0 stars.
Juan Menard, age 22, 3.0  stars.
Julio Esperanzoa, age 21, 3.0 stars,
Waso Kagame, age 20, 3.5 stars.
Hi-yuan Mao, age 18, 3.5 stars.

I'm not bragging; I realize that the attrition rate is high with pitchers, so it's unlikely that all of these guys will develop into successful big-league pitchers.  But I'm trying hard to lay the groundwork for future success in the Black Forest.  Toward that end I've assembled an unusually large number of candidates for my future starting rotation.

Will it be enough?  We'll find out in about 3-4 years.

116
Completed Trades / Rio / Black Forest trade.
« on: January 25, 2021, 07:28:25 PM »
Black Forest sends CF Yuki Yoshioka (ML) to Rio.

Rio sends SP Cunanda Thundayal (drafted earlier today in Round 1) plus this year's 4th round pick and next year's 3rd round pick to Black Forest.

117
General WBA Discussion / Re: Black Forest Baseball Hall of Fame.
« on: January 25, 2021, 06:59:56 PM »
The November 2128 honoree is

JEAN-MARIE TIKARAM

Not much was expected of Tikaram initially.  He was drafted by the Foxes in the third round of the rookie draft as a skinny, lefthanded 19-year-old from the Seychelles.  Growing up in a land where baseball was an afterthought, Tikaram hadn't experienced top-level competition.  But by the time he was 24 he had pitched his way to the majors, and he soon took over as Black Forest's closer.  He was outstanding in that role; he led the league in saves three times and won the league’s Reliever of the Year award twice.  Tikaram pitched in the majors for 11 years, eight of them as a Fox.  He was the closer for the 2112 club which won the WBA championship.  He racked up a total of 245 saves with a 3.30 career ERA.  All in all, he did just fine for a third-round draft pick from the baseball hinterlands.  He wore jersey number 30.


118
Completed Trades / Re: Ljubljana/Black Forest trade
« on: January 24, 2021, 12:54:02 PM »
Confirmed.  That gives me six first-round picks this year.  Is that a WBA record?

119
Completed Trades / Melbourne / Black Forest.
« on: January 09, 2021, 05:10:48 PM »
Black Forest sends $6 million to Melbourne.

Melbourne sends a third-round pick in the upcoming rookie draft to Black Forest.  The draft pick involved originally belonged to Karachi.

120
Completed Trades / Re: Manila / Black Forest trade.
« on: January 04, 2021, 07:41:18 PM »
Huck, when you process this trade you'll find Qualtrough in Triple-A; I'm temporarily moving him there so that I can have a roster spot open to promote his replacement, Yoshida Kamuta, to the big-league squad.  OOTP won't let me promote Kamuta until Qualtrough's roster spot has been vacated.

121
Completed Trades / Manila / Black Forest trade.
« on: January 04, 2021, 06:49:29 PM »
Black Forest sends RF Rex Qualtrough to Manila.

Manila sends $1 to Black Forest.

Rex has been a mighty fine player for the Foxes.  He helped us win the 2125 title.  He'll be missed.  But it's time to move on to younger players.

122
Completed Trades / Mexico City / Black Forest trade.
« on: December 14, 2020, 08:46:10 AM »
Black Forest sends SP Jayin Lecamwasam to Mexico City.

Mexico City sends a first-round pick in the next rookie draft (a pick which originally belonged to Northwest) to Black Forest.

123
Player Change Requests / Re: Black Forest player name changes.
« on: December 09, 2020, 03:26:23 PM »
The Foxes drafted four guys in Round 1 this year.  I'd like to make changes to two of them.

The #1 pick was Jose Lopez.  There's already a very good player in the IBL named Jose Lopez, so to avoid confusion I'd like to rename my guy to Maximilian Lopez.  No changes are requested to his hometown.

The #9 draftee was Kuan-tai Ai, from China.  I like having players from unusual places, so let's change him to Druk Tenzin, from the city of Mongar in the tiny Asian nation of Bhutan.  Possibly the WBA's first Bhutanese player?

124
WBA Times / The draft pool problem.
« on: December 08, 2020, 11:15:47 AM »
Now that the draft is nearing its end, I think it’s time to address a long-standing problem which was discussed at some length in Slack at the start of the draft.  The problem, briefly stated, is that OOTP’s draft-pool player-generation model has a serious flaw; the “current” ratings for players don’t match the ages of the players.  In short, a talented 23-year-old player often gets current ratings that are the same as those given to an 18-year-old player.

Obviously this is neither logical nor realistic.  I think all of us would agree that a typical baseball player performs better at age 23 than at age 18.  (Ty Cobb was in the majors at age 18; he hit .238.  At age 23, he hit .382.)  But OOTP doesn’t reflect that reality.  Let me provide some examples from the current draft class.

The best pure hitter in the just-concluded draft is Zaim Yaseen.  His Contact potential is 8, Power potential is 8, Eye potential is 7.  He’ll be 23 after tonight’s sim.  A player that talented should be ready to play in the major leagues by age 23.  (I’ll provide proof of that statement in a moment.)  Is Yaseen going to be ready to play in the majors at age 23?  No way.  His current ratings in the three categories noted above are 5, 5, 5.  That’s a long, long way from 8, 8, 7.  Yaseen is currently a 1.0-star guy, clearly not good enough to play in the majors.  Assuming a normal rate of progression, he’ll be ready for the majors at about age 27.  Is that normal for a supremely talented hitter?  Uh, no.  Here are some of the top National League hitters of the past few seasons:

Harper.  Made his big-league debut at age 19.
Yelich.  Made his big-league debut at age 21.
Marte.  Made his big-league debut at age 23.
Blackmon.  Made his big-league debut at age 24.
Murphy.  Made his big-league debut at age 23.
Turner.  Made his big-league debut at age 24.
Votto.  Made his big-league debut at age 23.
Posey.  Made his big-league debut at age 22.
LeMahieu.  Made his big-league debut at age 22.

And now here’s our guy, Yaseen, a tremendous hitter just like those guys, and it looks like he might be ready for the majors at age 27.  Doesn’t fit, does it?

Yaseen isn’t the only guy in this situation.  In fact, there are guys in far WORSE situations.  Another outfielder drafted in Round One, Kuan-tai Ai, is 22 years old and is supposed to develop into a stud hitter (Contact 6, Power 9, Eye 7).  Current ratings:  2, 2, 2.  His current ratings are virtually the same as those of Johnny Beck, an 18-year-old outfielder with 0.5-star potential.  How realistic is it for a guy with tremendous hitting skill to be, at age 22, on the same level as an 18-year-old non-prospect like Johnny Beck?  Not very.  And then there’s Maroof Virk, another guy with fantastic hitting potential (Contact 7, Power 8, Eye 6).  He’s 22, turns 23 before Opening Day.  Current ratings:  Contact 3, Power 2, Eye 2.  Yeah, he might be ready for the major leagues on Opening Day.  That’s Opening Day of 2133, when he’s 28 years old.

So we’ve clearly got a problem.  What do we do about it?

Well, we could ignore it; we could just say that’s the way it’s been for years, so let’s live with it.  I don’t know how everybody else feels, but I’m strongly against that option.  I prefer to fix a problem, not ignore it.  If my house is on fire, I tend to want to put the fire out.

Another option would be to manually upgrade the current ratings of players in the draft pool.  I’ll suggest how this could be done.  Guys of age 22 and above should get their ratings upgraded by 2, across the board.  Guys of age 20-21 should get their ratings upgraded by 1, across the board.  Guys younger than 20 should be left alone.  (Obviously this would be a lot of work, but untangling a mess usually is.)

A third option would be to limit the draft pool to teenagers, ages 17-19.  That might sound stupid, but if OOTP is going to give every player in the pool a set of current ratings which belong on teenagers, then fine, we’ll just draft teenagers.  That way when a stud hitter like Zaim Yaseen is generated, he’ll be 18 years old instead of 22, with the result that we won’t have to tolerate the absurdity of seeing him make his big-league debut at age 27; he’ll make his debut at 22 or 23, a perfectly reasonable age.  It will be more realistic, and also more fair for the team which drafts him; they’ll get more years of productive service from him.

So that’s the situation.  How do we move forward from here?

125
General WBA Discussion / Re: Black Forest Baseball Hall of Fame.
« on: December 06, 2020, 08:18:55 AM »
The November 2127 honoree is

HUO-TU CHENG

This big, hard-throwing righthander was the #1 pick in the 2107 rookie draft, chosen by Seoul.  He came to the Black Forest in a blockbuster 2108 trade in which the immortal Serhat Karpat was sent away due to excessive salary demands.  Cheng made his big-league debut with some late-season appearances in 2111, then won the IBL Rookie of the Year award in 2112.  The following season, 2113, Cheng posted some of the most incredible stats you’ll ever see; he was 19-2 with an ERA of 2.14.  He led the league in wins, winning percentage and ERA.  He continued to rack up wins the next two seasons, posting records of 16-9 and 18-9.  But late in the 2115 season Cheng suffered injuries to his back and shoulder.  The following season he struggled to regain his previous form, and in July 2116 he reinjured his shoulder so badly that his career came to an abrupt end.  Cheng was only 29 years old at the time.  He retired with 70 wins and 34 losses, for a tremendous winning percentage of .673.  Cheng had a short career, but he established himself as a consistent winner during the brief time allotted to him in the major leagues.  If he could have stayed healthy, he may have become one of the all-time greats.  Anyway, he was a key member of the Black Forest dynasty team which won five pennants in six seasons, and thus he has earned a place in the Hall.  Cheng wore jersey number 48.

126
Completed Trades / Edmonton / Black Forest trade.
« on: December 03, 2020, 12:05:18 PM »
Black Forest send the #4 overall pick in the current draft to Edmonton.

Edmonton sends the #19 overall pick to Black Forest, plus AA pitcher Manny Sierra.

127
Completed Trades / Rome / Black Forest trade.
« on: November 18, 2020, 07:31:45 AM »
Black Forest sends SP Dane Woodley to Rome.

Rome sends Black Forest its first-round pick, its fourth-round pick, and minor-league SP Eligius Kramer.

128
Completed Trades / Phoenix / Black Forest trade.
« on: November 17, 2020, 01:32:27 PM »
Black Forest sends SP Nikolai Tarand and RP Shaun Bloye to Phoenix.

Phoenix sends its first-round pick in the next rookie draft, plus Double-A SP Yannik Robillard, to Black Forest.

(Please place Robillard on my AA roster.)

129
Completed Trades / Re: Mumbai-BF
« on: November 14, 2020, 05:15:50 PM »
Confirmed.

Really hurts to trade Ganeshwaran.  He's the third best player I've ever had, after Salim Tuncay and Serhat Karpat, both of whom are in the Hall of Fame.  But there's no point in keeping him aboard a sinking ship.

130
Completed Trades / Phoenix / Black Forest trade.
« on: November 13, 2020, 12:06:39 PM »
Black Forest sends relief pitcher Ewalt Bohmer to Phoenix, plus $179,000 to cover his salary for the remainder of this season.

Phoenix sends Black Forest a third-round pick in the rookie draft FOLLOWING THE 2128 SEASON (the team has already traded its third-round pick for the rookie draft which follows the current 2127 season).

131
Completed Trades / Melbourne / Black Forest trade.
« on: November 11, 2020, 08:28:18 PM »
Black Forest sends 3B Loan Ngo, RP Kevin Bishop and $6 million to Melbourne.

Melbourne sends the following to Black Forest:
A second-round pick (originally owned by Karachi) in the rookie draft held at the end of the 2127 season.
A first-round pick (Melbourne's own pick) in the rookie draft held at the end of the 2128 season.
Rookie League pitcher Desiderio Zacarias (please place on Black Forest's Rookie League team).

132
Completed Trades / Edmonton / Black Forest trade.
« on: November 10, 2020, 03:07:04 PM »
Black Forest sends catcher Ricardo Paez and relief pitcher Carlos Pina to Edmonton.  Black Forest also sends $3,592,000 to Edmonton to pay Pina's salary for the remainder of this season.  (According to my calculator that's slightly more than needed in order to cover it.)

Edmonton sends Black Forest its first-round pick in the next rookie draft.

133
In 20+ years of running the Foxes I have never launched a total rebuild, but the time has come.  Everybody on the big-league roster is available.  Yes, including Ganeshwaran and Tarand.  Note that they will not be cheap.

I sure didn't expect to be doing this.  Prior to the 2126 season, the Huck 3000 projected my team to win 95 games.  We won 76.  I figured that was just a super-weird one-year aberration.  Nope.  Prior to the current season we were projected to win 85 games.  We're on pace to win 58.  I don't know what the ever-loving hell is going on, but I've had enough of it.  I'm either going to trade these guys, or strangle them.  I'm leaning toward strangling them, but I'll listen to trade offers first.

Don't expect quick decisions from me because (a) I'm busy in RL, and (b) there's no need for me to rush since the trade deadline is a long way off, and (c) I expect to get multiple offers for the top guys, so obviously I want to take my time and accept only the best offers.  I want picks and prospects, of course.  And considering how shallow the draft pools have been lately, my interest in any non-first-round pick is minimal.

134
WBA Times / The IBL and the Plexiglas Principle.
« on: October 23, 2020, 11:27:13 AM »
Bill James devised the Plexiglas Principle way back in the 1980s.  It states that a team which improves in one season will usually decline the next season, and vice versa --- a team which declines in one season will usually improve the next season.  This is a general guideline, not a rule or a law; it is true the majority of the time, but not all of the time.  The Plexiglas Principle grows stronger the longer a team defies it; if a team improves for two straight years, the team's chances of declining the next season rise significantly.  Lastly, there's a caveat about Pythagorean records.  James noticed that teams which win more games than projected by their Pythagorean record tend to decline, while teams which win fewer games than projected by their Pythagorean record tend to improve.  This is a contributing factor to keep in mind when using the Plexiglas Principle.

I decided to look at the upcoming IBL season from the perspective of the Plexiglas Principle.  I omitted Paris and Tokyo because they're tanking; the Plexiglas Principle only applies to teams that are trying to win.  So anyway, here are my assessments of the other eight IBL teams, as viewed through the lens of the Plexiglas Principle.

Ljubljana.
The Dragons’ pattern over the past four years has been DOWN, DOWN, UP, UP.  Logically, the next step in that sequence would be DOWN.  Also note that the Dragons’ win total increased by a whopping 17 games in 2126; the Plexiglas Principle states that a team which improves by that much in one season is almost certain to decline the next season.  Lastly, note that the Dragons’ record in 2126 was two games better than the team’s Pythagorean record, and a team which outperforms its Pythagorean record tends to decline the next season.  Add it all up and you get the following conclusion:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Dragons will win FEWER games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

Karachi.
Win totals of the past five seasons:  60 65 53 80 71.
The Falcons’ pattern over the past four years has been UP, DOWN, UP, DOWN.  Logically, the next step in that sequence would be UP.  Also note that the Falcons in 2126 underperformed their Pythagorean record by 9 games, an unusually large number; this indicates that their poor record was partly due to bad luck.  So the conclusion seems clear:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Falcons will win MORE games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

Cairo.
Win totals of the past five seasons:  69 90 92 97 101.
The Pharaohs’ pattern over the past four years has been UP, UP, UP, UP.  This is an absolutely historic run.  The Plexiglas Principle states that it is unusual for a team to move in the same direction for two straight years.  It is very unusual for a team to move in the same direction for three years, and it is virtually unheard of for a team to move in the same direction for four straight years.  The Pharaohs’ record has improved for four straight years and is therefore way overdue to make a turn in the opposite direction.  So:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Pharaohs will win FEWER games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

Rome.
Win totals of the past five seasons:  75 77 80 70 81.
The Generals’ pattern over the past four years has been UP, UP, DOWN, UP.  This alone would tend to indicate that they are due to decline somewhat in 2127.  To bolster that sentiment, note that the Generals improved in 2126 by 11 games; teams which improve by such a large amount in one season tend to take a step backward the following season.  Lastly, the Generals of 2126 outperformed their Pythagorean record by three games.  The markers are all in agreement, and they all point to the same conclusion:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Generals will win FEWER games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

Manila.
Win totals of the past five seasons:  80 86 73 90 85.
The Folders’ pattern over the past four years has been UP, DOWN, UP, DOWN.  This indicates that they should probably improve in 2127.  However, in 2126 they outperformed their Pythagorean record by three games; that indicates that they should decline in 2127.  So in this case the markers are not in agreement; they are not pointing in the same direction.  Still, since the team’s record declined by five games while its Pythagorean record was only three games off, the weight of the evidence indicates improvement.  It’s a coin toss, really, but:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Folders will win MORE games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

Melbourne.
Win totals of the past five seasons:  71 71 74 74 82.
The Meteors’ pattern over the past four years has been SAME, UP, SAME, UP.  The team’s record hasn’t declined since 2122; that’s unusual.  A decline therefore seems overdue.  Also note that the team improved by 8 games in 2126; that’s a pretty big jump, indicating that a downturn is probable.  Lastly, the Meteors outperformed their Pythagorean record in 2126 by four games, which indicates that they were somewhat lucky.  All of the markers are pointing to the same conclusion:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Meteors will win FEWER games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

Mumbai. 
Win totals of the past five seasons:  101 97 102 104 102.
The Cobras’ pattern over the past four years has been DOWN, UP, UP, DOWN.  It’s not a clear pattern; moreover, the win totals haven’t fluctuated much at all.  Thus it’s very difficult to pinpoint a direction for this team in the coming season.  Consulting the Pythagorean record is no help; the 2126 Cobras exceeded their Pythagorean record by only one game.  In short, the markers point in different directions, and none of the markers point very strongly in ANY direction.  My best guess is that, due to the fact that the Cobras improved for two seasons and then declined for only one, mixed in with the fact that they slightly exceeded their Pythagorean projection last year:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Cobras will win FEWER games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

Black Forest.
Win totals of the past five seasons:  80 88 107 98 76.
The Foxes’ pattern over the past four years has been UP, UP, DOWN, DOWN.  This would tend to indicate that the team is due to increase its win total in 2127.  Bolstering that conclusion is the fact that the Foxes’ win total dropped by an utterly incredible 22 games in 2126.  That’s the largest single-season drop in franchise history, and probably the largest single-season drop any WBA team has ever experienced if you exclude teams which were purposely tanking.  A team which declines this precipitously is almost guaranteed to bounce back to some extent the following season.  Also note that the 2126 Foxes won six fewer games than their Pythagorean record would indicate.  All of the markers are therefore pointing very strongly to the following conclusion:
The Plexiglas Principle projects that the Foxes will win MORE games in 2127 than they won in 2126.

It'll be interesting to see how these projections pan out.  I plan to return to this post at the end of the 2127 season for a followup.

I didn't bother with the ABL because who cares.

135
Player Change Requests / Re: Black Forest player name changes.
« on: October 16, 2020, 12:35:44 PM »
Haven't renamed any draftees in several seasons, but I'm in the mood for that this year.

I had three picks in the first round.  I'm going to leave the first guy's name alone, Khai Jiang.  I kind of like it.  But for the other two I'm changing their names and birthplaces.  I like getting players from out-of-the-way places.

So let's change Antonio Gonsales to Waso Kagame of Ngozi, Burundi (a small nation in Africa).

Let's change Jose Diaz to Gideon Zamosh of Tel Aviv, Israel.

Thanks!

136
General WBA Discussion / Re: Black Forest Baseball Hall of Fame.
« on: October 10, 2020, 07:22:55 AM »
This year we induct

MANNY JUAREZ

Manny becomes the first relief pitcher in the Hall.  He was born in Colombia and was drafted out of high school by the now-defunct Florida Hurricanes.  By the age of 22 Juarez had been involved in three trades, the last of which caused him to be sent from the Melbourne Meteors to the Black Forest Foxes.  There he found a home; he pitched in the major leagues for 16 years, 13 of which were spent with the Foxes.  Juarez was voted IBL Relief Pitcher of the Year for three straight years, 2115 through 2117.  He appeared in a total of 721 games for Black Forest and recorded a team-record 198 saves.  At the time of his retirement, Juarez was acknowledged as the greatest reliever in Black Forest history.  He wore jersey number 47.

137
Completed Trades / Re: Phoenix-Black Forest Trade
« on: September 22, 2020, 04:49:57 PM »
Confirmed.  Huck, please place Delgado on my active ML roster.  I demoted a guy to AAA to make room for him.  In my lineup against righthanded pitchers, list Delgado as the backup in LF and RF.  In my lineup against lefthanded pitchers, list Delgado as the starter in RF (a slot has been left open to allow him to bat in the #5 spot).  Thanks.  Please don't forget or I'll be playing shorthanded tonight, and my team is struggling enough already.

138
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne/Black Forest
« on: September 20, 2020, 02:09:51 PM »
Confirmed.  Huck, please put this guy on my Class A roster.

139
Completed Trades / Re: Melbourne / Black Forest trade.
« on: September 16, 2020, 11:35:01 AM »
Huck, to make things easier I'm temporarily moving Tsuji to AAA, then making some other roster changes/lineup changes at the ML level to replace him.

140
Completed Trades / Melbourne / Black Forest trade.
« on: September 16, 2020, 11:24:09 AM »
Black Forest sends shortstop Kozue Tsuji to Melbourne.

Melbourne sends Black Forest two first-round picks in the next rookie draft (Melbourne's pick and Ljub's pick).

Pretty sad that I'm basically giving up on the 2126 season a few months after winning the WBA title.  But what the hell, my players appear to have given up in April.

141
Completed Trades / Re: NW - Black Forest
« on: September 09, 2020, 12:18:33 PM »
Confirmed.  I'm going to move Sadozai to AAA before tonight's sim just so I can bring up another guy to fill the big-league bullpen slot that will be coming open due to the trade, so you'll find Sadozai on the AAA roster, Huck.  Put Hernandez on my Class A roster.  Thanks.

142
Trade Blocks and Discussions / Re: Cairo Off-season Block
« on: August 23, 2020, 11:57:32 AM »
Luis Diaz is an Ohio boy so you know he's good.  Too bad I'm set in my rotation or I'd go for him.

143
Completed Trades / Ljubljana / Black Forest trade.
« on: August 17, 2020, 07:49:57 AM »
Black Forest sends SS Eckert Herde and a fourth-round pick in the next rookie draft to Ljubljana.

Ljubljana sends one dollar to Black Forest.

144
The following players are available:

Chang-ho Kim, catcher, age 27.  3.0 stars.  Good-hitting catcher in his prime; at 3 stars should be a big-league starter.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_6280.html

Vijai Ramamohan, CF, age 28.  3.0 stars.  Hit .297, stole 34 bases.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_103.html

Egbert Klauschen, LF/RF, age 29.  2.5 stars.  Power hitter, also plays good defense.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_2321.html

Zhu Eng, 1B, age 28.  2.5 stars.  Good all-around hitter in his prime.
http://www.worldbaseballassociation.com/reports/news/html/players/player_5956.html

<Edited on Aug. 19 to accommodate recent roster updates>

145
General WBA Discussion / Re: Black Forest Baseball Hall of Fame.
« on: August 11, 2020, 07:19:01 PM »
This year's honoree is

ACHAIUS MAINAKY

Drafted in the seventh round of the rookie draft in 2106, this big first baseman from Malaysia wasn't expected to have much of a big-league career.  He was more of a line-drive hitter than a slugger, which is unusual for a first baseman.  But he just kept getting better and better, and by 2110 he'd reached the majors.  He stayed there for 8 years, all of them with the Foxes, and he posted a career batting average of .323.  He helped the club to four pennants and a WBA championship.  Mainaky had his best year in 2116, when he led the IBL in batting average, RBIs, hits, extra-base hits, doubles and total bases.  He added 28 home runs that season, and ended with a career total of 144 homers.  He was a productive hitter for a long time.  He wore jersey number 24.

146
Completed Trades / Karachi / Black Forest trade.
« on: August 10, 2020, 08:01:01 AM »
Black Forest sends Double-A SS Tony Reyes to Karachi.

Karachi sends Triple-A RP Kevin Bishop to Black Forest.

147
General WBA Discussion / Save success rates, 2125.
« on: August 07, 2020, 01:22:16 PM »
It seemed to me that my closer blew a lot of saves this year so I figured I'd compare him to the other closers in the WBA.  Turns out he was below average but nowhere near the bottom of the list when it came to the percentage of save opportunities that he blew.  Here's the list.  The first number is the total number of save opportunities, the second number is the number of blown saves, and the third number is the success percentage.

chen, groove             31- 1  96.8
hollanda, coqui          29- 1  96.6
whitfield, cobras        52- 3  94.2
rousset, folders         34- 2  94.1
escobedo, stars         48- 3  93.8
foong, dolphins         29- 2  92.9
shimizu, jaguars        50- 4  92.0
lobato, flight              35- 3  91.4
ling, palmchats          23- 2  91.3
vargas, meteors         40- 5  87.5
arenos, toucans         30- 5  83.3
valdez, foxes             41- 7  82.9
datini, pharaohs         22- 4  81.8
ono, emeralds            46- 9  80.4
uborevich, fleur-de-lis 36- 8  77.8
werfel, generals         18- 4  77.8
chalcott, falcons         18- 4  77.8
powell, jacks              11- 3  72.7
gardella, aztecs          36-10  72.2
pierre, dragons           14- 4  71.4

It's interesting to me that the top two guys both pitched for last-place teams.

The guy who hurt his team the most, in my estimation, is Gardella of Mexico City.  He led the league in blown saves, and he did that for a team that was in playoff contention.

148
Completed Trades / Karachi / Black Forest trade.
« on: July 21, 2020, 01:21:04 PM »
Karachi sends its first-round pick in the upcoming rookie draft to Black Forest.

Black Forest sends $15 million in cash to Karachi.

149
Completed Trades / Melbourne / Black Forest trade.
« on: July 21, 2020, 01:19:32 PM »
Black Forest sends SP Shafi Khaskheli (currently in AAA) and a fifth-round pick in the upcoming rookie draft to Melbourne.  Black Forest also agrees to pay Khaskheli's remaining salary for the rest of this season (not future seasons).

Melbourne sends RP Graham Ware (Rookie League) to Black Forest.

150
WBA Times / Re: Changeup Development Report
« on: July 20, 2020, 07:55:09 AM »
Very useful information, looking forward to occasional updates.

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