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Messages - Coop
401
« on: September 11, 2016, 06:38:18 PM »
Question:
How would this work if the trade is made before the draft? To use your example, let's say Mumbai sends Darchiev to Santo Domingo in exchange for Santo Domingo's first-round pick. However, since Santo Domingo doesn't have the #1 pick in the ABL draft, there's really no way for Mumbai to know exactly what player(s) will be available when Santo Domingo is on the clock in Round 1. Mumbai might WANT Santo Domingo to draft Mikel Trouts, but somebody else might draft Mikel Trouts before Santo Domingo gets its turn to draft. So what happens then?
Ideally, I guess the pick could be made with an understanding between the GMs that if Mikel Trouts is available, SD takes him, and if he's not, then the SD GM needs to alert the Mumbai GM for instructions on who to take. That could be problematic, however; a team is on the clock for only a limited amount of time, so is the SD GM going to be able to contact the Mumbai GM during that brief window of time, and is the Mumbai GM going to have sufficient time to study the list of draftees still available in the ABL draft and make a decision before the clock runs out and the OOTP bot makes the pick?
I realize that I'm muddying the waters by pointing out this stuff, but it's something to consider as we work our way to a decision as to whether these sorts of trades should be allowed, and exactly how they would work.
402
« on: September 08, 2016, 07:17:25 PM »
This explains something I've seen with some of my minor-leaguers. I've released guys, only to have them show up on one of my minor-league rosters again later. At first I thought I'd just messed up (you know, "Gee, I thought I released that guy but I guess I didn't get around to it"). But it's happened to me three times now, and I'm not quite that absent-minded. So I've seen the same glitch.
The funny thing is that I ended up keeping one of the three guys. Between the time that I released him and the time he reappeared on my Class A roster, his ratings went up enough that he was better than some of my other minor-leaguers at that position. So one of them got the axe and he got his roster spot back.
If we start giving players nicknames, I guess I'm going to have to call that guy Zombie. He returned from the dead.
403
« on: September 03, 2016, 10:23:24 AM »
Here are the numbers:
2100 --- ABL .247, IBL .247, WBA total .247
2101 --- ABL .251, IBL .253, WBA total .252
2102 --- ABL .257, IBL .242, WBA total .250 or .249
2103 --- ABL .261, IBL .246, WBA total .254 or .253
2104 --- ABL .254, IBL .245, WBA total .250 or .249
We're at .243 overall in 2105, which is an all-time low. Could go up some by end of season, of course. Still a long way from the goal of .265 or thereabouts.
404
« on: September 03, 2016, 07:40:25 AM »
It's very true that statistical trends fluctuate and that sometimes problems correct themselves. But if Huck is aiming for this league to hit about .265, and it's instead hitting .243, that's a problem which (in my opinion) is unlikely to correct itself; the gap is just too large. I believe it's going to require manual intervention.
By the way, in an earlier post I listed the BA and HR numbers for the National League over the past 21 years, so I decided to do a quick study of the WBA's home-run rate in the 2105 season. Our rate is 0.93 HRs per game. That's right in line with the National League's rate, so no problem there. The problem seems to be confined to batting average.
(For those who may be curious ... the highest HR rate at present is Karachi's, at 1.43 per game. Lowest is Florida's, at 0.59 HRs per game.)
405
« on: September 02, 2016, 05:10:54 PM »
I feel like I've stirred up a hornet's nest; sorry, didn't want to upset anybody. But I enjoy this league too much to remain quiet when I see something I think needs fixing. If we as a group choose not to fix it, okay; the league will still be fun. But if we can fix it this offseason, we should at least consider it.
I just went to baseball-reference.com (terrific site, by the way) and got the National League totals for BA and HRs. I avoided the American League because the DH inflates their numbers; we don't use the DH, so the NL stats seem more appropriate for us. Here are the numbers from 1995 through 2015, the last season for which there are complete numbers:
Year NL overall BA NL HRs per game
------------------------------------------
1995 .263 0.95
1996 .262 0.98
1997 .263 0.95
1998 .262 0.99
1999 .268 1.12
2000 .266 1.16
2001 .261 1.14
2002 .259 1.00
2003 .262 1.05
2004 .263 1.10
2005 .262 0.99
2006 .265 1.10
2007 .266 1.04
2008 .260 1.01
2009 .259 0.96
2010 .255 0.93
2011 .253 0.88
2012 .254 0.94
2013 .251 0.89
2014 .249 0.83
2015 .253 0.94
As you can see, HR totals were way up during the "steroid years," but they're down to a more normal level now. I don't know how the WBA stacks up with regard to HR totals; haven't done the math. Offhand, I think our HR totals are okay. But our batting averages are definitely low, even compared to the rather low BAs of 2014-2015 (and quite a bit lower if you want to use 1995 as a baseline).
406
« on: September 02, 2016, 01:07:43 PM »
That's possible, but personally I don't think these low batting averages can be attributed entirely to a lack of talented players, because if the league simply didn't have enough good players, that would mean that the league wouldn't have enough good hitters and the league also wouldn't have enough good PITCHERS, with the result that teams would be forced to use bad pitchers, and batting averages would rise. Obviously that's not happening.
Let me propose a couple of other possibilities.
Possibility #1. There's a setting somewhere in the system that's set too low for hitters, or too high for pitchers. If you do the math, the WBA batting average of .243 is only about 4 percent lower than the National League batting average of .253. Four percent is not a huge amount. If there's such a setting, and we could raise batting averages 4 percent across the board, it wouldn't have a dramatic impact. It's not like .200 hitters would suddenly become .300 hitters. A .200 hitter who gains 4 percent becomes a .208 hitter. A .220 hitter who gains 4 percent becomes a .229 hitter. A .240 hitter who gains 4 percent becomes a .250 hitter. It's barely noticeable on a player by player basis, but it would have an impact on the overall league stats.
Possibility #2. It could be that most of the GMs in this league have chosen to focus on pitching, with the result that most teams have great pitching staffs, and those great pitching staffs are keeping batting averages low. This is possible but it seems unlikely to me, because if the league is properly balanced with regard to available talent, there are only so many good pitchers available, with the result that not everybody can get good pitchers no matter how badly they want them, and some GMs are thus going to find that only good hitters are available --- all the good pitchers have been taken. So those GMs would be "stuck with" good hitters. I don't believe that's happening, or else the hitting and pitching would balance out, and they aren't; the pitchers are clearly dominating the WBA.
Anyway, I guess if you have a great appreciation for pitching, the WBA is the place to be.
407
« on: September 01, 2016, 08:59:33 PM »
Sure, there are some standout hitters, but that's kind of beside the point. The point is that there apparently are not ENOUGH standout hitters. When our league has multiple teams hitting below .225, and none of the real-life teams are hitting below .238, it seems clear that the WBA teams just don't have as much hitting as the real-life teams. Maybe that's not a big deal, but still, it's pretty obvious that this is indeed the case.
408
« on: September 01, 2016, 07:59:37 PM »
Hey, I don't want to make this sound like a huge complaint, because in general I think this league has been terrific fun, but I mentioned once before that the batting averages seem a little low, and today I decided to do a little study to see how things are going in the 2105 season. Here are the results.
The ABL is hitting about .249 as a whole. Sao Paulo has the highest BA (.283) and Florida has the lowest (.214).
The IBL is hitting about .238 as a whole. Brisbane has the highest BA (.270) and Black Forest has the lowest (.217).
Overall WBA batting average is .243, as near as I can figure it.
I compared these numbers to the current National League (the American League isn't a good comp because it uses the DH). The National League is hitting .253. The highest BA is from Colorado (.275), the lowest is from Philadelphia (.238).
So it appears to me that we're about ten points low. Also, we have nine teams with BAs lower than the .238 BA posted by the Phillies. If it was just one team with a horrendous team BA I'd shrug it off, but look at this list: Mexico City .237, Rome .236, Seoul .231, Buenos Aires .225, Scottish .222, Singapore .220, New York City .220, Black Forest .217, Florida .214. Are these teams playing with bats made of balsa wood?
Anyway, how does everyone else feel about this? Personally, even if the batting averages never go up, I'll still enjoy the league; it's not like we absolutely need higher batting averages in order to have fun. (My team is hitting .217, and my starting first baseman is hitting .155, but I'm still having a blast.) If I had my druthers, though, I'd like to see a little more hitting. But (a) I don't know how the other GMs feel about it, and (b) I'm not sure how easy it is to fix this.
Thoughts?
409
« on: August 27, 2016, 01:19:01 PM »
Glad to hear I'm not the only one experiencing that. My worst one was a pitcher named Akshey Imani. When I drafted him he was listed as having 4.0 star potential. When he showed up for spring training, his ratings had dropped so much, his potential was down to 1.0 star. I have to assume he was a skydiving enthusiast who forgot to take his parachute. Can't think of anything else to explain that much of a talent deterioration in one month's time.
410
« on: August 22, 2016, 09:15:26 AM »
I like this idea. I was actually thinking of suggesting something along these lines with regard to nicknames. For example, I drafted a power-hitting catcher named Decheng Zhang. I have privately used his DZ initials to nickname him Danger Zone, but there's no way of putting that into OOTP. Would be kind of fun if we could nickname a few guys on our teams. I'm guessing some of the nicknames that GMs would come up with would be pretty amusing.
411
« on: August 15, 2016, 10:32:13 AM »
I can't see my Foxes winning 83 games. We're in rebuilding mode and we've got too many holes to make any serious upward move just yet. We're in kind of a grey area, not bad enough to have any chance at a #1 or #2 draft pick but not good enough to be at a point where signing a couple of top free agents would make us contenders. It's not a good situation, really. My approach has been to shed payroll and build through the draft but I don't draft high enough to get the players who are real game changers. I'm afraid I'm going to be stuck in the middle of the pack for a long, long time.
412
« on: August 14, 2016, 07:57:27 PM »
Now if they can just pick up Walter Johnson and Goose Goslin they'll be all set.
413
« on: August 12, 2016, 03:38:41 PM »
I'm in a rebuilding mode but I don't really want to see the playoffs expanded. It would cheapen them. I'm willing to be patient and earn my way into the playoffs.
I do agree however that I'd like to see GMs stick around longer. I enjoy this league, even though my team isn't a contender, and it baffles me that so many people keep leaving. I was in favor of a faster sim, partly because I think that would help keep non-playoff owners interested, but that got shot down. The league has several committed, long-term GMs; I guess we'll just have to hope that some of the newcomers prove to have the proper amount of commitment as well.
414
« on: August 12, 2016, 09:54:00 AM »
Yeah, London has a lot of good young talent. And the Monarchs have more money than anybody, so if they ever need a free agent, they can get him no matter how badly anybody else wants him.
415
« on: August 11, 2016, 01:21:05 PM »
So, is Brisbane going to start selling playoff tickets during spring training?
416
« on: August 10, 2016, 06:49:18 AM »
Milwaukee's projected for 104 wins and can't find a GM? Makes perfect sense.
417
« on: August 08, 2016, 07:36:17 PM »
Personally, I think if we vote to eliminate opt-outs, we should wipe out the existing ones, too. Or at least give each GM the option to have them wiped out. A lot of us are new GMs; we inherited most of our long-term contracts.
418
« on: August 08, 2016, 05:54:59 PM »
I've only completed one season so my experience is limited, but I had one player with an opt-out (starting pitcher Dalmr Mazi). He had the option to stay and get paid $5.5 million, and I was stunned when he left. It screwed up my already-screwed-up rotation, and it wasn't a great financial decision for him either, as I see that he just signed a 4-year deal at $4.6 million a year. So from my limited experience it appears that when a player has an opt-out, he takes it, whether it makes any sense or not. If that is indeed the case, then we should get rid of the opt-outs. But of course other GMs may have had completely different experiences.
419
« on: August 08, 2016, 05:49:52 PM »
I vote yes.
420
« on: August 06, 2016, 09:18:35 PM »
Yeah, it obliterated mine too.
421
« on: August 05, 2016, 01:56:42 PM »
Surprising to see Karachi so low after an aggressive offseason. Also hard to imagine the always-strong Merlions finishing below .500.
I'm not surprised to see Tokyo/Brisbane take a big leap forward; I fully expect that to happen. But I'm going to go out on a limb and say that they won't actually win 111 games.
422
« on: August 05, 2016, 08:21:25 AM »
I'm in the IBL, so I don't follow the ABL that closely. But I'm curious as to what's going on with Buenos Aires? The Dolphins won their division in 2104 with a record of 89-67; the new projection shows them finishing last in their division in 2105, with a record of 68-88. What happened, did their team plane go down?
423
« on: August 04, 2016, 12:43:07 PM »
Also, for what it's worth, I think the Jaguars were unlucky in 2104. Looking at their roster, I think they were a lot better than their record indicated.
424
« on: July 29, 2016, 07:15:19 PM »
Black Forest sends center fielder Yok-sing Li and pitcher Ridha Ragheb to New York City. In return, New York City sends one dollar to Black Forest.
425
« on: July 28, 2016, 06:43:14 PM »
Whatever he took, I want some of it.
426
« on: July 28, 2016, 03:21:13 PM »
The Black Forest Foxes have agreed to trade leftfielder Cheslav Zamorov to the Santo Domingo Palmchats in exchange for pitchers Dhrtatman Nageshwar and Casimiro De Almeido.
427
« on: July 13, 2016, 06:18:26 AM »
Hey, I love your new team name and location. I root for the Brisbane Lions of the Australian Football League. You'll draw bigger crowds than they do, though. They're having a tough time these days.
428
« on: July 02, 2016, 10:45:21 AM »
Welcome to the WBA, Jack Bogota.
I think Karachi can be competitive sooner rather than later. The organization has some good young talent. Clean up the AI salary mess, and the team could get good in a hurry.
429
« on: June 16, 2016, 04:01:53 PM »
The Black Forest Foxes have agreed to trade second baseman Fu-chi Luo (Rookie League) to the Rio de Janeiro Jaguars for pitcher B.J. Pittman (Class AAA). Waiting now for the Rio GM to approve the deal on this forum.
430
« on: June 13, 2016, 07:50:49 PM »
Can't afford any of these guys but I like your commentary. Insightful and witty. Fun to read.
I believe your team is snakebitten. You've got a lot of 4-star and 5-star guys who clearly aren't playing up to their potential. Maybe they'll turn it around in the second half.
431
« on: May 17, 2016, 08:03:23 PM »
Black Forest approves the trade of Mtoro and Baloloy for Morales.
432
« on: May 17, 2016, 05:55:12 PM »
Sorry, but Black Forest does NOT approve this trade. There's been a misunderstanding; I provided a list of players whom I would be willing to include in a trade for Miguel Morales, but I specified that I would be willing to trade TWO of them, not all five of them. I've sent a message to that effect to Tampa Bay to see if we can arrange a deal. It's on hold for now.
433
« on: May 16, 2016, 07:17:50 PM »
Nice logo and jersey.
434
« on: May 11, 2016, 09:03:00 AM »
Hi! I'm going to send you a trade proposal this evening. That ought to get you off to a fast start!
435
« on: May 10, 2016, 07:41:40 PM »
Don't be hard on yourself; I don't think it was such a bad trade for you. You got one of the very best players in the league, and you didn't give up ANY of your starters. You gave up two draft picks, your #2 catcher and a minor-league outfielder who won't be ready for the big leagues for at least a couple of years. It's not easy to get a superstar like Hashimoto without giving up one of your key players. I really wanted your second baseman, for example, but you stood firm and wouldn't let him go. You even managed to shed Moran's contract along the way. So really, you did a good job of arranging a deal that helps your team for the short term, and I think I did a good job of arranging a deal that should help my team for the long term.
436
« on: May 09, 2016, 06:50:08 PM »
The Black Forest Foxes approve the above trade. The two draft picks mentioned are for the upcoming rookie draft (2104 preseason).
437
« on: May 08, 2016, 08:04:54 AM »
Be sure to attend a few Crushers games while you're there.
438
« on: May 05, 2016, 06:00:58 PM »
As the GM of the Black Forest Foxes, I've got to give a shout-out to the Foxes of the Leicester City Football Club. The Leicester City Foxes recently won their first-ever English Premier League championship. It's always great to see Foxes come out on top!
439
« on: May 05, 2016, 05:59:01 AM »
My 26-year-old 2B/3B, Hashimoto, also wants $15 million a year. Granted, he's terrific (hit 42 homers last year), and he's just coming into his prime, but $15 million a year? What do you guys think about that? I'm not sure I can afford to keep him. If anybody wants to talk trade, I'll listen. He has one more year at $200,000 before he's eligible for free agency. I'd consider good young talent and/or draft picks for him.
440
« on: April 29, 2016, 05:28:12 AM »
I haven't been involved in an online league before. What exactly is an offseason sim? Also, can you provide a rough outline of what steps will be taken between now and Opening Day? I assume those steps will go something like this. Step 1, get as many new owners as possible. Step 2, ownerless teams will become computer-controlled drones. Step 3 is the draft of rookie players. Step 4, free agency. Step 5, set rosters. Step 6, play ball! Oh, and one last thing. Is there a hard salary cap, and if so, what is the number?
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