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Messages - Bob_Meteors
Pages: 1 ... 3 4 [5] 6 7 ... 12
201
« on: August 05, 2021, 06:40:27 PM »
Melbourne sends:
SP Rashid Kermani (A)
OF Ronaldo Espach (AA)
1B Kevin Hayward (AAA)
MEL 2132 1st round pick
MEL 2133 1st round pick
MEL 2132 3rd round pick
MEL 2133 4th round pick
Vienna sends:
SP Norbert Torrigiani (ML), 50% salary retained
OF Will Wilson (ML)
OF Antonio Salazar (ML)
202
« on: August 04, 2021, 02:27:28 PM »
A Rule 5 draft would allow minor league players to have a chance in the major leagues. From the OOTP manual, these are the eligibility requirements for Rule 5:
The player has at least three but fewer than six years of professional service time, and the player was age 19 or older when he first signed a contract.
The player is not on the team's secondary roster.
Note: Players who were age 18 or younger when they entered the league are eligible if they have at least four, but fewer than seven years of professional service time. In other words, young players get an extra year before they become eligible for the Rule 5 draft.
Professional service time refers to time spent in any level of the league, which in our league is just how much time has passed since they were drafted.
OOTP does not allow for much customization of the Rule 5 draft. As far as I can tell, the following rules are not changeable:
1. A team can make a selection in the Rule 5 draft if they have empty spots on their 40 man roster. However, Rule 5 selections must remain on the active (25 man) roster or disabled list for the entire season.
2. Rule 5 draftees can be waived or traded, and their new team must keep them on the active roster or DL for the entire season, unless they are waived or traded again.
3. A player selected in the Rule 5 draft must spend at least 90 days on the active roster (in other words, a team cannot dump a Rule 5 pick on the DL for the entire season). If this does not happen, the requirement can extend into the following season.
I ran a test league Rule 5 Draft and it seems like there are only two customizations the commissioner can make: whether to have a straight or serpentine draft, and the draft order. The default draft order is reverse order of standings, which I think is reasonable, but it can be customized (meaning theoretically Rule 5 picks could be tradable, but that would probably not be a good idea). In my opinion, we should vote between a straight draft in reverse standings order, and a serpentine draft in random order, but that can be a later vote if the Rule 5 draft is agreed to.
There is no set length of a Rule 5 draft - it continues until every team has either ran out of room on their 40 man roster, or decided not to select a player. They typically last between 3 and 5 rounds. No team is required to make a selection, and teams can make as many selections as they want (provided that they have room on their 40 man roster).
The fact that essentially no aspects of the Rule 5 draft are customizable is a mixed blessing. It means we don't have to argue about tweaking the eligibility requirements - you either like them or you don't, and should vote accordingly. It would be theoretically possible to have a Rule 5 draft without using OOTP - someone (me) would manually gather a list of players who are eligible according to modified rules the league decides on, and then we could hold a draft in Slack. I wouldn't mind doing that, but it would be much less convenient for GMs to not be able to view the draft pool in-game, so for now I suggest we stick to the OOTP Rule 5 draft if anything. GMs could submit draft lists in-game. If a team is managed by the AI, they would probably not make any picks, and almost definitely no more than two - the AI doesn't draft very often in Rule 5.
I think having a Rule 5 draft would be helpful to improve parity - plenty of AAA players for good teams could be starters for bad teams, and are young and on league minimum contracts. There are currently over 1000 players in the WBA who are eligible for Rule 5 selection (weirdly, despite the WBA not having a Rule 5 draft, it's still a filterable option, so if you want to see the entire list yourself just pull up a list of all WBA players and filter by Rule 5 eligibility). There are some good prospects on that list, but anyone who a team *really* wants to keep (for example, Ethan Gloyn or Rajeshh Vasava) will be added to the 40 man roster if we do pass this amendment, so nobody will be losing any genuinely good prospects. But there are definitely a fair number of minor leaguers who could possibly cut it in the majors, and they deserve a chance.
203
« on: July 31, 2021, 08:00:14 PM »
Sure
Just toss him in AAA I'll deal with it later, thanks
204
« on: July 27, 2021, 04:09:48 PM »
Melbourne sends
2B Kenny Merrill (ML)
Oslo sends
SS Shaun Firth (A)
$4,000,000
Huck, please promote Tom Farmer from AAA and make him starting 1B vs RHP, and backup 1B vs LHP. Put Firth at A as starting SS vs RHP+LHP. Thanks!
205
« on: July 11, 2021, 09:35:11 PM »
Melbourne sends
OF Ryan Schenkel (AAA)
Tokyo sends
$2,000,000
206
« on: July 11, 2021, 06:17:43 PM »
Melbourne sends:
OF Wei-hong Bao (AAA)
Mexico City sends:
2132 3rd round pick
207
« on: July 06, 2021, 01:32:06 PM »
Blue Meteors confirm. That's $7,300,000 total, 5m in retention and 2.3 more in cash.
Please put McCauley in at 2B vs LHP and RHP. Put Blaise as the starting C vs LHP and backup vs RHP (should be spots open). Thanks.
208
« on: June 02, 2021, 08:15:15 PM »
Please promote Lenny Look from AAA to replace Gamboa
209
« on: June 02, 2021, 08:14:52 PM »
Confirmed
210
« on: June 02, 2021, 04:06:40 PM »
Post It!
Kenny Merrill - 1st
Kozue Tsuji - 2nd and 4th
Liann-wei Zhao - 2nd and 5th
Lenny Look - 2nd and 5th
Jonathan Mills - 2nd
Franck Magnier - 3rd
Kevin Bishop - 3rd
211
« on: May 27, 2021, 05:21:20 PM »
Flaming Rocks confirm but humbly request that Evil Birds use Hollanda's full title "Meteors Legend Fytor Hollanda"
Huck, please put Meteors Legend Fytor Hollanda in my ML pen as a setup reliever (8th or later), thanks
212
« on: May 25, 2021, 01:06:08 PM »
Melbourne sends
RP Mehani Abuu (R)
Black Forest sends
Black Forest's 2131 4th round pick
RP Aidan Fearon (ML)
Huck, please put Fearon into my ML pen as a setup man. Thanks
213
« on: May 12, 2021, 06:09:52 PM »
Melbourne sends
2131 3rd round pick
Tokyo sends
LF Lateef Kuchis
214
« on: May 12, 2021, 05:24:34 PM »
Note: Asking prices are not post-it prices. DM me if you're interested in these guys and we can negotiate. SP Tetsuya Kudo - 8/7/8 pitcher with 4 pitches rated 8. 28 years old. Signed this year for 2mil and then the next 5 years at under 5mil. 3.46 FIP last year. Asking price: 1st and 2nd P Alejandro Gamboa - 11/7/7 reliever, 2 elite pitches and one okay one (rated 9/7/7 as a SP). Stats have never quite lived up to ratings as a starter but he should be a great reliever. Asking price: 2nd and 3rd (if they're late-round picks I would probably want an extra pick) OF Franck Magnier - 7/8/3/3/10 vs RHP, 8/9/3/3/10 vs LHP. Could hit .300+ in any park, .320+ in a hitters' park. Rated 6 at both corner OF spots. Good base stealer. Asking price: 2nd 1B Kevin Hayward - 5/8/9/6/4 vs LHP and RHP. Elite power, decent defense. Wouldn't play in my park but could play in any power park. 5.5 WAR in only 118 games last year (at AA, but still!) Post it: 2nd+3rd Anyone else in AAA is available, and pretty much nobody is untouchable (except Ravandur, Mesa, He, and Bairros). Always open to offers!
215
« on: April 29, 2021, 02:56:18 PM »
Melbourne sends
Phoenix's 2131 1st round pick (8th overall - SP Wallace Dopfer, selected via Slack DM)
Havana sends
HAV 2131 1st and 2nd round picks (17th and 37th overall)
216
« on: April 11, 2021, 03:26:32 PM »
Anytime I can trade for a Melbourne kid, I'm going to. Confirmed.
Huck, I moved Weir to AAA so I could replace him on the ML roster. Please slot San Miguel into AA as the #5 SP, there should be an opening. Thanks.
217
« on: April 07, 2021, 05:48:00 PM »
Huck, please put Ramon as backup LF/RF/CF if tired vs RHP, and backup CF if tired vs LHP. Should be spots available.
218
« on: April 07, 2021, 05:47:25 PM »
Melbourne sends
2132 2nd round pick
Phoenix sends
OF Ramón Gonzáles (ML)
219
« on: March 25, 2021, 01:01:36 PM »
Espach for 2132 4th
220
« on: March 20, 2021, 01:50:47 PM »
Melbourne sends
2131 2nd round pick
2131 5th round pick
São Paulo sends
RF Jonathan Mills (ML)
221
« on: March 19, 2021, 05:08:19 PM »
Melbourne sends
Meteors legend Nelson Ackland
Phoenix sends
RF Franck Magnier (ML)
PHO 2131 1st round pick
222
« on: March 15, 2021, 05:35:52 PM »
well that was a lot... yes confirmed
223
« on: March 14, 2021, 12:10:14 PM »
Melbourne sends
2130 1st rounder (current pick - Reynaldo Quintero, selected in Slack DM)
Beijing sends
Karachi's 2131 1st round pick
Northwest's 2131 3rd round pick
Beijing's 2132 5th round pick
224
« on: March 13, 2021, 09:24:20 AM »
Confirmed
225
« on: March 10, 2021, 05:15:48 PM »
Melbourne sends
2130 2nd round pick (Havana)
2130 3rd round pick (Havana)
Daegu sends
SP Alejandro Gamboa (ML)
RF Tom Farmer (ML)
226
« on: March 07, 2021, 09:17:16 PM »
Second year in a row I've lost a 5th rounder in a bet. Third time's the charm?
Confirmed
227
« on: March 05, 2021, 05:10:46 PM »
We all know that OOTP is weird. Sometimes a rating has a greater or lesser effect than we expect, and often the relationship between ratings and stats can be completely counterintuitive. I decided to analyze the three OOTP "running" ratings - speed, stealing, and baserunning - and see what effect they had on stolen bases. To begin with, my data only included the 2129 season. Since ratings can change, I thought it would make the data less reliable to include previous seasons. I also only included players with at least 6 steal attempts. A consequence of this is that most players on the list had good running ratings, but I don't think this matters, as nobody would want to steal a base with a 3/3/3. There were a total of 104 players on this list. Their average ratings were 7.5/8.6/7.9 (speed/stealing/baserunning) and their median ratings were 8/9/8. I analyzed each individual running rating in isolation and compared each one to SBs (total number of bases stolen) and SB% (steals divided by steal attempts). I'll begin with the stealing rating. The slope of the trendline for the stealing vs SBs data was 4.75 - in other words, for every increase of 1 in stealing, we could expect an increase of 4.75 steals, all else being equal. So a 7/9/7 would be expected to have 9.5 more steals than a 7/7/7 (over the period analyzed, which is one full season minus three weeks). I personally don't think SBs are particularly indicative, since team strategy and player strategy settings have a huge effect and are difficult to account for, but SB% is a better indicator. The slope of the trendline for stealing vs SB% was 3.17 - an increase of 1 stealing rating point led to, on average, an increase of 3.17% success rate. This is less than I expected, and indeed, the R^2 coefficient (a statistical metric used to determine strength of correlation) was just 0.151 (out of a maximum of 1), suggesting a relatively weak correlation. In other words, statistically speaking, stealing rating has a tangible but fairly small effect on stealing. Incedentally, the R^2 for stealing rating vs SBs (not SB%) was 0.243, indicating that the stealing rating is a stronger indication of the number of steals than the steal percentage. On to the baserunning rating, which might be the least used rating in the game. The slope of the SBs vs BSR trendline was 2.19, and for SB% vs BSR, it was 2.33. In other words, an increase of 1 BSR rating led to, on average, an increase of 2.19 stolen bases and a 2.33% increase in success rate. The R^2 coefficients were 0.089 and 0.141, suggesting that baserunning has much less of an impact on stealing bases than the stealing rating. Finally, on to (in my personal opinion) the most interesting data: the speed rating. The slope of the trendline of speed vs SBs was 3.28, and the R^2 coefficient was 0.172, suggesting a correlation between speed and SBs. However, the trendline of speed vs SB% had a slope of essentially 0 (-0.0948), and the R^2 was 0 (the software I used rounds R^2 to three decimal places, so technically I should say the R^2 was less than 0.0005 and therefore rounded to 0). In other words, speed has essentially no effect on stolen base percentage. The correlation between speed and SBs could be because teams set their fastest players to steal more often, or it could be programmed that way within the engine. An interesting example of this is Northwest's Phillip Moore, who had the highest SB% of my entire list - 13 steals and only one CS, for a rate of 92.9% - with a speed of just 5. His STE and RUN ratings are 9 and 8, respectively. Oslo's Marcio Stallone is also an interesting case. He currently has 20 SBs and a speed rating of 10 - but his low STE (only 5) means his actual success rate is barely over 50%. Finally, a clarification for those of you who know a bit about statistics. In this article, I used linear trendlines simply because they're easiest to explain. However, I did check all the data with exponential, quadratic, cubic, logarithmic, and power series trendlines, and in every case, the R^2 stayed very similar to the linear trendline. This actually surprised me, as I had believed all OOTP ratings follow a normal distribution rather than a uniform one, and therefore believed that exponential trendlines would fit the data better - but this did not occur. A potential explanation of this is that running ratings do not follow the same normal distribution that batting and pitching ratings do, which actually is supported by (at least my) anecdotal experience - I notice many more 9s and 10s the running ratings than in batting ratings. I did make graphs for these data, but am not including them here out of a desire for brevity. I'll post them on Slack if people are interested.
228
« on: February 26, 2021, 08:05:42 PM »
yes
please put gurijala in the ml pen as a lefty specialist
229
« on: February 26, 2021, 08:02:17 PM »
MEL sends
OF Cristián Vázquez
PAR sends
2130 4th, 2130 5th, 2131 5th
230
« on: February 26, 2021, 07:47:15 PM »
As noted in slack, Melbourne does not confirm this trade as of now
231
« on: February 26, 2021, 05:55:27 PM »
Confirmed as per post it
232
« on: February 26, 2021, 05:39:11 PM »
Rio sends
CF Daniel Hayes (AAA)
Melbourne sends
500k
233
« on: February 25, 2021, 02:09:17 PM »
SP Anupradana Koushika - 9/7/6 pitcher with an elite fastball and three other good pitches. Gives up some walks but not much else. With 7 movement, could be a good starter even in a high-HR environment. Asking price: 3rd Post it: 3rd, 4th, 5th or 2nd OF William Kalman - Pretty good hitter (6/7/7/6/7) with very good defense (8/8/8). Rated 9 at RF and 7 at CF. Also has plus speed/stealing (8/10/8). Under contract for another year after this season. Asking price: 3rd Post it: 3rd and 4th OF Cristián Vázquez - 6/9/7/7/6 hitter with 7/8/8 defense. Currently rated 9 at LF and should be 9 at RF if he gets some time there. Would also be a passable CF. Hitting .322 with 1.8 WAR in under 200 plate appearances. Asking price: 2nd or 3rd and 4th Post it: 2nd and 4th OF Darren Wyatt - 7/7/5/4/6 with potentials at 8/8/6/5/9. wRC+ of 121 in AAA. Asking price: Similarly-rated infielder around the same age Post it: 2nd 1B Keith O'Malley - 7/9/5/5/9 vs RHP. Hit .583 in the majors this year (in a small sample size, granted, but still!) wRC+ of 124 in AAA. Asking price: 3rd Post it: 2nd As always, nobody is truly untouchable (except Ravandur, Mesa, and my 4 non-Koushika SPs) so feel free to make an offer on whoever.
234
« on: February 24, 2021, 04:02:07 PM »
Please put Weir in the ML bullpen as a setup guy, secondary role of closer
235
« on: February 24, 2021, 03:54:16 PM »
NW sends
RP Valdinei Weir (ML)
MEL sends
Beijing's 2130 3rd round pick
236
« on: February 20, 2021, 06:48:54 PM »
Havana sends
SP Eli Tessier (AAA)
2130 2nd round pick
Melbourne sends
OF Percy Stevense (AAA)
237
« on: February 14, 2021, 04:13:30 PM »
Please put Bao as starting RF in AA vs LHP/RHP. Also, RP, primary role lefty specialist, secondary role middle relief. Thanks 
238
« on: February 14, 2021, 04:06:32 PM »
Melbourne sends
2130 2nd round pick
Paris sends
2131 4th round pick
RF Wei-hong Bao (AA)
239
« on: January 30, 2021, 08:27:16 PM »
Melbourne sends
C Alejandro Yera (AAA)
2131 4th round pick
Havana sends
OF Cristián Vázquez (ML)
240
« on: January 28, 2021, 08:47:24 PM »
Melbourne sends
SP Boboy Espina (AAA)
Rio sends
2131 5th round pick
241
« on: January 27, 2021, 08:46:29 PM »
Confirm
242
« on: January 27, 2021, 12:16:25 PM »
Melbourne sends
1B Steve Mobley (ML)
3rd round pick in 2130
Puerto Rico sends
1B Jurgen Landler (ML)
243
« on: January 27, 2021, 10:43:42 AM »
This wasn't processed in time and I think Karachi got autoed. I'm fine with just getting the guy Karachi drafted (Tosya Gliskov)
244
« on: January 26, 2021, 09:16:12 PM »
Trade canceled by mutual agreement
245
« on: January 24, 2021, 01:39:37 PM »
Update #5: 2128 DraftThe 2128 draft has not started yet! Ignore everyone who dares to suggest that I might not post these as often as I planned. Anyway, here's another update. Let's first look at the 2126 draft, now with two full years of development. This absolutely shocked me, but out of the 30 players from that draft class with a 1/6+ changeup, 24 of them have seen some development, for a rate of 80%! Only one has fully reached their potential - Black Forest's Khai Jiang, at 7/7 - but they're all still very young, and it's a good sign that so many have begun developing. On to the 2127 draft, which had 29 players with 1/6+ changeups. One year later, 14 of them have developed somewhat, for a rate of 48.3%. Although none have gotten above 4, it's still higher than most of us would expect. And now to the current draft, 2128. This draft class had 159 players with a current changeup of 1, much higher than last year, and 33 of those had potential changeups of 6 or higher, only slightly higher than last year. 12 of those are 2.5 stars, two are 3 and two are 3.5, and one is 4 stars - Hi-yuan Mao, whose 1/9 changeup will make the difference between a mediocre and excellent pitcher. Every single one of those is listed as a SP (although, of course, if their changeups never develop, they might turn into relievers). At this point, it's happening way too often to be coincidental - players with 1/6+ changeups are almost always starters. I have absolutely no idea why. Overall stats time! In total, 196 players have passed through my list as 1/6+ changeups. The oldest of them, by the way, is now 28 - time really flies, doesn't it? My original list was only players under 23. Since our last update, 26 more players have seen some development. The most significant ones improved to 4: Tokyo's Asadel bin Kaseeb and Puerto Rico's Shi-ping Guao. This means that overall, of the 196 players, 115 have developed somewhat. This is a rate of 58.7%, especially impressive considering that the list of 196 includes the 2128 draft class. When they are removed, the rate jumps to 70.6%, which is probably much closer to the actual likelihood of development. I felt like I've been saying "Tokyo" and "Black Forest" a lot, so I decided to look at the list of developing changeups and see which team was best represented. Of the 115 players whose 1/6+ changeup has begun developing, 11 belong to Black Forest, 10 to São Paulo, and 9 to Tokyo. No other team has over 7 (Mexico City and Los Angeles have exactly 7), and past that, the list goes: 6 - Mumbai, Rome 5 - Cairo, Edmonton 4 - Manila, Northwest, Paris, Puerto Rico, Santo Domingo 3 - Havana, Melbourne, Phoenix 2 - Ljubljana, Rio de Janeiro 1 - Karachi 14 of the remaining 15 are currently free agents, while one - Carlos Galló - retired at the age of 26, following three seasons in the major leagues. I have no explanation for this. That's it for this update. I'll try to do another one around opening day, but we'll see.
246
« on: January 09, 2021, 05:49:02 PM »
Confirmed. Please stick Zhao in AAA and auto the AAA bullpen
247
« on: January 09, 2021, 05:11:04 PM »
Confirmed
248
« on: January 08, 2021, 04:54:41 PM »
Confirmed
249
« on: January 03, 2021, 03:20:08 PM »
for clarity's sake - AI the AAA bullpen, don't touch the ML bullpen thanks
250
« on: January 02, 2021, 09:39:05 PM »
Huck, please toss Look in AAA and AI the bullpen, thanks!
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